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Financial Economics of Insurance

Ralph S.J. Koijen

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Economics & Finance

  • Ralph S.J. Koijen and Motohiro Yogo

An authoritative and comprehensive graduate textbook on the modern insurance sector

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The traditional role of insurers is to insure idiosyncratic risk through products such as life annuities, life insurance, and health insurance. With the decline of private defined benefit plans and government pension plans around the world, insurers are increasingly taking on the role of insuring market risk through minimum return guarantees. Insurers also use more complex capital management tools such as derivatives, off-balance-sheet reinsurance, and securities lending. Financial Economics of Insurance provides a unified framework to study the impact of financial and regulatory frictions as well as imperfect competition on all insurer decisions. The book covers all facets of the modern insurance sector, guiding readers through its complexities with empirical facts, institutional details, and quantitative modeling.

  • An up-to-date textbook for graduate students in economics, finance, and insurance
  • Covers a broad range of topics, including insurance pricing, contract design, reinsurance, portfolio choice, and risk management
  • Provides promising new directions for future research
  • Can be taught in courses on asset pricing, corporate finance, industrial organization, and public economics
  • An invaluable resource for policymakers seeking an empirical and institutional account of today’s insurance sector

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  • 1.1.1 Liabilities
  • 1.1.2 Assets
  • 1.1.3 Leverage
  • 1.1.4 Ownership Structure
  • 1.2.1 Life Insurance
  • 1.2.2 Fixed Annuities
  • 1.2.3 Variable Annuities
  • 1.3.1 Financial Statements
  • 1.3.2 Insurance Prices
  • 1.4.1 State Guaranty Associations
  • 1.4.2 Risk-Based Capital Regulation
  • 1.4.3 Accounting Standards
  • 1.5.1 Insurance Market
  • 1.5.2 Balance Sheet Dynamics
  • 1.5.3 Financial Frictions
  • 1.5.4 Optimal Pricing
  • 1.5.5 Empirical Implications
  • 2.1 Variable Annuities
  • 2.2 Derivatives
  • 2.3.1 Interest Risk Mismatch
  • 2.3.2 SRISK
  • 2.3.3 Stock Returns during the COVID-19 Crisis
  • 2.4.1 A Case Study of MetLife
  • 2.4.2 Aggregate Facts
  • 2.5 Securities Lending
  • 2.6.1 Corporate Bond Market
  • 2.6.2 Households
  • 2.6.3 Firms
  • 2.6.4 Banks
  • 3.1.1 Summary Statistics
  • 3.1.2 Pricing during the Global Financial Crisis
  • 3.1.3 Evidence against Default Risk
  • 3.2.1 Term Annuities
  • 3.2.2 Life Annuities
  • 3.2.3 Life Insurance
  • 3.3.1 Insurance Market
  • 3.3.2 Balance Sheet Dynamics
  • 3.3.3 Financial Frictions
  • 3.3.4 Optimal Pricing
  • 3.3.5 Empirical Implications
  • 3.4.1 Empirical Specification
  • 3.4.2 Identifying Assumptions
  • 3.4.3 Marginal Cost of Capital
  • 3.5.1 Frictions in External Capital Markets
  • 3.5.2 Frictions in Internal Capital Markets
  • 4.1 Aggregate Facts about the Variable Annuity Market
  • 4.2.1 Variable Annuity Market
  • 4.2.2 Balance Sheet Dynamics
  • 4.2.3 Financial Frictions
  • 4.2.4 Optimal Fee and Rollup Rate
  • 4.2.5 Evidence from the Cross Section of Insurers
  • 4.3.1 A Model of Variable Annuity Demand
  • 4.3.2 Identifying Assumptions
  • 4.3.3 Estimation Methodology
  • 4.3.4 Estimated Model of Variable Annuity Demand
  • 4.3.5 Consumer Surplus
  • 4.4.1 Empirical Specification
  • 4.4.2 Estimation Methodology
  • 4.4.3 Estimated Model of Variable Annuity Supply
  • 5.1.1 Relation between Ratings and Shadow Insurance
  • 5.1.2 Estimating Risk
  • 5.1.3 Estimating Expected Loss
  • 5.2.1 Insurance Holding Company
  • 5.2.2 Balance Sheet Dynamics
  • 5.2.3 Financial Frictions
  • 5.2.4 Optimal Pricing and Reinsurance
  • 5.2.5 Holding Company’s Risk-Based Capital
  • 5.3.1 A Model of Life Insurance Demand
  • 5.3.2 Empirical Specification for Marginal Cost
  • 5.3.3 Identifying Assumptions
  • 5.3.4 Estimated Model of the Life Insurance Market
  • 5.3.5 Retail Market in the Absence of Shadow Insurance
  • 6.1.1 Portfolio Composition
  • 6.1.2 Duration
  • 6.1.3 Credit Risk
  • 6.2 A Portfolio Puzzle for Insurers
  • 6.3.1 Financial Assets
  • 6.3.2 Insurers
  • 6.3.3 Portfolio-Choice Problem
  • 6.3.4 Optimal Portfolio Choice
  • 6.3.5 Asset Prices
  • 6.3.6 Insurers’ Optimal Portfolio
  • 6.4.1 Demand for Low-Beta Assets
  • 6.4.2 Sensitivity to Risk-Based Capital
  • 6.4.3 Trend in Relative Credit Risk
  • 6.5.1 Interest Risk Mismatch
  • 6.5.2 Capital Structure
  • 6.5.3 Insurance Pricing
  • 6.5.4 Agency Problems
  • 7.1.1 Insurance of New Risks
  • 7.1.2 Microfoundations of Insurance Demand
  • 7.1.3 Regulatory Gaps
  • 7.1.4 Political Economy of Insurance Regulation
  • 7.1.5 Optimal Insurance Regulation
  • 7.2.1 Financial Disclosure
  • 7.2.2 Stress Tests
  • 7.2.3 Regulatory Oversight
  • A.1 Variables Based on the Financial Accounts of the United States
  • A.2 Insurer Characteristics
  • A.3 Portfolio of US Life Insurers
  • B Optimality Conditions for a Multiproduct Insurer
  • Bibliography

“Using the tools of financial and regulatory economics, this volume delivers a host of new and interesting insights on the insurance industry and the forces that determine the supply of insurance products. It provides a firm foundation for a rich new research program on a key component of the financial sector.”—James Poterba, professor of economics at the Massachusetts Institute of Technology and president of the National Bureau of Economic Research

“The growing heft of the nonbank financial sector has commanded attention from central banks and financial authorities around the world. This book presents a masterful study of the insurance sector as a core part of the landscape. The authors show how an understanding of the institutional details and regulatory backdrop is crucial in gauging the impact of the insurance sector on the broader financial system, and uncover a rich set of research questions along the way. This book is a must-read for serious observers of financial markets and researchers in financial economics.”—Hyun Song Shin, Bank for International Settlements

“This book presents a unique combination of facts and modeling, using a novel and unified framework. It’s full of hidden nuggets and is absolutely a must-read for any graduate student in finance or economics who wants to take a deep dive into the supply side of the ever-growing insurance business. Once you are done with the book, you’ll have multiple new leads for exciting research projects, and a coherent conceptual framework as to how to go about them.”—Liran Einav, Stanford University

“With an artful blend of empiricism and theory, Koijen and Yogo provide a definitive study of the impact of market incentives and regulation on the financial performance of the insurance industry. Graduate students and regulators, especially those interested in life insurance, will take away a deep understanding of how the pricing of insurance interacts with the risk management of insurers’ balance sheets.”—Darrell Duffie, author of Fragmenting Markets

“Anyone wanting to push the frontiers of research on insurance needs to read and study this book. Ralph Koijen and Motohiro Yogo’s pioneering research on how market frictions affect the behavior of insurance companies provides a wealth of methodologies and insights that will prove invaluable for research on this important but understudied sector of the financial system.”—David Scharfstein, Harvard Business School

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Jay Solomon

How Princeton got burned by its outreach to Iran

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The View From Princeton

The view from iran.

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As US-Iran relations thawed during the Obama administration, Princeton University saw an opportunity to make the school a central player in bridging the decades-long divide between the two antagonists. It established an Iran center, welcomed a senior Iranian diplomat to its ivy-coated halls, and pursued a student exchange program with Iran.

But within a dozen years, two of Princeton’s graduate students had been detained or kidnapped by Tehran and its military proxies. And a Republican-led Congress is now formally probing the school’s ties to Iranian regime officials.

Princeton’s experience is a cautionary tale of how American institutions can be ensnared in the internal politics of Tehran and Washington and become pawns in those battles, even as they see themselves as working towards noble goals. After Hamas’ Oct. 7 attack on Israel, Princeton is also another Ivy League school that is seeking to balance academic freedom with scholarship and speech that some US lawmakers and educators believe are hostile to American interests.

Princeton’s ambitions to position itself as an arbiter in reducing tensions between Iran and the US are clear in a large cache of Iranian foreign ministry emails obtained by Iran International, a Persian-language television channel banned in Iran, and shared with Semafor. They’re also illustrated in the Princeton faculty’s extensive writings, speeches, and appearances focused on Iran.

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Students abducted

Princeton’s student exchange program first took off in 2014, when a prominent Iranian-American scholar and future Biden administration official, Ariane Tabatabai, connected the Iran center’s then-associate director to Mostafa Zahrani, a senior Iranian foreign ministry diplomat with strong ties to his country’s elite military force, the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC). “I wanted to introduce you to a friend who is in Princeton, and you will see him in Vienna in three weeks,” Tabatabai wrote, cc’ing Kevan Harris, the then associate director. “He is interested in sharing with you a plan to send Iranian students to Princeton and to send American students to Iran.”

Harris jumped at this opening, according to correspondence seen by Semafor, and arranged to see Zahrani in Austria two weeks later on the sidelines of the nuclear negotiations that were taking place between Iran, the US, and other global powers. The follow-up took time, but by early 2015, Princeton welcomed its first candidate for the Iran program: a Chinese-American graduate student named Wang Xiyue.

Wang was hesitant about going to Tehran, he told Semafor in recent interviews. He didn’t speak Farsi, and his Ph.D. work initially focused on the Soviet Union’s role in Central Asia, rather than issues related to Iran itself. He also raised with Princeton his concerns about security, given Iran’s history of abducting American citizens and the fact Tehran had no diplomatic ties with Washington.

On Dec. 1, 2015, Wang emailed administrators that he felt he needed to be as specific as possible about his scholarship with Iranian officials to protect himself once on the ground. “[A]s a US citizen of non-Iranian descen[t], I think it would be preferable for me to be as transparent as possible so that I would not be deported from the country for doing things my visa does not prescribe me to do,” he wrote.

But Harris and other Princeton officials reassured Wang about his safety and the importance of learning Farsi in Iran, both for his dissertation and future academic work. “It’s a good time to go [to Iran] — looks like they are in a good mood over there,” Harris wrote to Wang in the weeks before his January 2016 departure. “Take advantage of it.”

Wang’s reservations proved to be right. Six months after his arrival in Tehran, Iran’s intelligence ministry confiscated his US passport. On Aug. 7, 2016, he was arrested on espionage charges and sent to Iran’s feared Evin Prison, where he spent more than three years, at times in solitary confinement and threatened with death.

Princeton denied that it in any way downplayed the risks of travel to Iran nor pressured Wang into joining the exchange program. “Princeton did not direct, and indeed did not have the power to direct, Mr. Wang’s travel,” university spokesman Michael Hotchkiss told Semafor. “And it was Princeton University that undertook a relentless, multi-year and multi-million-dollar global effort to secure his release.”

Last year, a second Princeton graduate student, Elizabeth Tsurkov, was abducted by an Iranian-backed militia in Iraq. She hasn’t been seen since last November.

Tsurkov’s journey to Princeton was an unusual one. The academic and journalist was born in Russia, raised and educated in Israel, and earned her master’s degree in social science from the University of Chicago in 2019 with a 3.9 GPA. Throughout this time, she showed a remarkable ability — particularly for an Israeli — to engage the Middle East’s religious groups, militias, and political movements in hotspots like Syria, Iraq, and Lebanon.

Tsurkov has said in published interviews that she began her reporting through the heavy use of social media. Fluent in Arabic, she employed Facebook, Twitter, and WhatsApp to document the plight of people caught in war zones, and amassed a substantial online following and network in the process. She also used her Russian passport to visit Arab countries that are largely off limits to Israelis.

Tsurkov has acknowledged that her citizenship and religion unnerved some of her contacts. But her colleagues and family said that her writings, which have focused heavily on the plight of victims of regional and sectarian violence — including Palestinians — have allowed her to gain and maintain the trust of the groups and individuals she’s documenting. Among her affiliations is an Israeli-Palestinian think tank that educates Israelis on Islam and their Arab neighbors in a bid to support the peace process.

“I think that what drives all of them, at the end of the day, to speak to me is a feeling that I care about them, and I want to properly reflect their perspectives and their views,” Tsurkov told the media outlet Al-Monitor in a 2021 podcast.

Tsurkov’s doctoral work at Princeton was focused on the patronage systems that underpin political movements in Lebanon, Iraq, and Iraqi Kurdistan and why their members often remain loyal to feudal and sectarian leaders who deliver little economic development in return. In her thesis proposal from 2021, which was approved and funded by Princeton, she outlined the travels she’d made, and would continue to make, to Baghdad, northern Iraq, and Lebanon.

Tsurkov was kidnapped on March 21, 2023 from a cafe in the central Baghdad neighborhood of Karrada, just days after undergoing back surgery in an Iraqi hospital for a herniated disc. Both the US and Israeli governments blame the Iranian-backed militia Kataib Hezbollah (KH) for the abduction.

KH was established in 2003 with the direct support of Iran’s IRGC, and is designated by the US as a terrorist organization. KH’s militia forms the largest part of Iraq’s national guard, known as the Popular Mobilization Forces, and KH politicians serve in Iraqi Prime Minister Shia Al Sudani’s government. US officials say KH also regularly coordinates with the IRGC to attack American military facilities and personnel in Iraq and the wider region. This includes a January drone strike on a Pentagon base in Jordan that killed three American troops.

The Trump administration assassinated KH’s founding commander, Abu Mahdi al-Muhandis, in a January 2020 missile strike on his convoy in Baghdad. He was accompanied by the IRGC’s most powerful general, Qasem Soleimani, who also died in the attack. Iran has vowed to avenge both of their deaths. KH hasn’t contacted the Tsurkov family nor made any demands for her release.

Elizabeth’s sister, Emma Tsurkov, has publicly criticized Princeton’s response to the kidnapping — mirroring, in many ways, complaints raised by Wang Xiyue. Last August, she penned an opinion piece in the New Jersey Star-Ledger claiming the school had been denying it approved Elizabeth’s travel to Iraq and was telling the State Department that their grad student had essentially gone rogue. Emma Tsurkov stressed in her article that any divide between the school and Elizabeth was extremely dangerous as it could only fuel charges that she was a spy and “hurt her chances of coming home.”

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Emma told Semafor that Elizabeth, once in Iraq, was in regular contact with her Princeton thesis advisor, Professor Amaney Jamal, the dean of the School of Public and International Affairs. This included occasional video calls from Baghdad. But the Tsurkov family has been disappointed that Jamal hasn’t met with Emma in person since Elizabeth’s disappearance, something Princeton doesn’t dispute.

The school in October, for the first time, publicly took responsibility for Elizabeth’s research and travel to Iraq, even while raising questions about whether she followed proper procedures going there. Spokesman Hotchkiss told Semafor that Princeton is totally committed to gaining her release “by making available reputable outside experts the University has retained and by advocating with US government officials to use their influence to help bring Elizabeth home safely.”

He added that Jamal “directly communicated her deep concern for Elizabeth and her family to Emma Tsurkov” via email and that the school has appointed a deputy dean at the graduate school to serve as a point person. “[The administrator] is available for Emma at any time and remains in contact with her,” he said.

KH released a proof-of-life video in November in which a visibly exhausted Elizabeth Tsurkov reads a statement in Hebrew claiming she was both an operative for the CIA and Mossad, the Israeli spy agency. (The US and Israel deny this charge.) The student is believed to still be in Baghdad.

Emma Tsurkov is now focused on pressuring Iraq’s government to secure Elizabeth’s freedom, given Baghdad’s close ties to KH. The family believes Iraq should be designated as a state sponsor of terrorism and have its US aid budget slashed unless it wins Elizabeth’s release. Emma Tsurkov directly confronted the Iraqi prime minister at a Washington think tank last month on behalf of her sister, publicly accusing him of “not doing anything to save her.”

The Iraqi government hasn’t responded to requests for comment from Semafor.

An Iranian diplomat on campus

Princeton entered the Iran debate in a significant way in 2009, when it agreed to host Hossein Mousavian, a top regime diplomat and former nuclear negotiator, in New Jersey. Mousavian fled Tehran that year after being charged with espionage by then-President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad’s government, and briefly detained. The Islamic Republic insider would be cleared, but still found himself starkly on the wrong side of his country’s vicious political infighting.

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Mousavian was no dissident, though, and used his perch at Princeton to advocate Iran’s positions on its nuclear program and other key national security issues. A former ambassador to Germany, Mousavian has supported ties with the West in ways that have placed him at odds with the IRGC and other hardline parties in Tehran. He has also sought to improve relations between Iran and Saudi Arabia.

Many of Mousavian’s dictums on the nuclear file would be adopted by the Iranian government after his close political ally, Hassan Rouhani, succeeded Ahmadinejad as president in 2013 and moved to negotiate directly with the Obama administration over the next two years. The Princeton scholar was a prolific producer of opinion pieces and commentary during this period who liaised, at times, with Iranian diplomats, including Mostafa Zahrani and then-Foreign Minister Javad Zarif, to promote their messaging and engagements in the West, according to the foreign ministry correspondence reviewed by Semafor.

Princeton officials lauded Mousavian’s ability to advise the US and Iranian delegations to help advance the nuclear deal, which was finalized in July 2015. And in the eyes of Wang Xiyue, the graduate student, this reflected his school’s strong ties to the upper echelons of the Islamic Republic’s leadership. This sense of security was only bolstered, Wang told Semafor, by the fact that one of his advisers at Princeton’s Iran center, Mona Rahmani, was herself related to an Iranian government official. Her father ran Tehran’s interests section in Washington, an Iranian government body that works to support dual US-Iran citizens, from 2010-2015.

“My concerns were alleviated by the fact that there were these direct links between Princeton and Iran,” Wang said. “It looked like there was coordination.”

Following his arrest in August 2016, these connections to Tehran proved of little use, Wang outlined in a lawsuit he filed against Princeton in 2021, charging negligence. The university advised Wang’s wife to stay quiet and not publicly criticize the Iranian government, he says. And Mousavian told Princeton’s leadership that his outreach to Zahrani, Zarif, and other Iranian officials would be counterproductive for Wang, given the Princeton scholar’s own sparring with Tehran’s security state. Rahmani, meanwhile, also declined to lobby the regime, the lawsuit states. She left the university in 2017.

Wang says he felt totally abandoned during the more than three years he was incarcerated in Evin Prison. He was released on December 7, 2019 as part of a prisoner exchange negotiated between the Trump administration and Iran. “Simply put, after encouraging and convincing Mr. Wang to go to Iran, Princeton chose to put their reputation and political interest ahead of Mr. Wang’s personal safety,” reads his lawsuit.

Princeton denies that it placed its reputation or ties to Iran ahead of Wang’s safety. And the school said it invested enormous resources behind gaining his release. “Throughout his ordeal, the University worked in close coordination with his wife and provided extensive financial and other support to Mr. Wang and his family during and after his imprisonment,” Princeton’s legal team at Akin Gump wrote to congressional lawmakers investigating the school’s ties to Iran last year.

Princeton reached a financial settlement with Wang last September but denies all charges made against the school in the suit. “We have chosen to help them [Wang’s family] move on with their lives by avoiding protracted litigation,” spokesman Hotchkiss said.

Princeton officials strongly back the school’s decision to provide Mousavian a base to conduct his scholarship from 2009 through today. The school cites his role in helping to promote the 2015 Iran nuclear deal, and his efforts to reduce tensions between Washington and Tehran that some Western officials worry could expand into an all-out war. “Based on my personal observations, Dr. Mousavian, as an advisor to the negotiators on both sides, was as responsible as anyone for the creative ideas that bridged the gaps in the Iran Nuclear Deal,” Princeton Professor Emeritus Frank von Hippel, who helped bring Mousavian to Princeton, wrote in a 2022 opinion piece.

Mousavian has remained active in the Iran debate, including speaking last August at the Pentagon’s Strategic Command headquarters in Nebraska on the history of US-Iran relations — from Tehran’s perspective. Some Republican lawmakers were outraged that a former regime official — who maintains ties to Tehran — was invited to speak to such an important US military body. The House Committee on Education and the Workforce launched a formal probe last fall into Mousavian’s employment at Princeton, questioning whether he was operating as an unregistered foreign agent for Tehran. “Mousavian’s position ... raises significant concerns about the influence of foreign hostile regimes on American institutions,” the committee wrote to Princeton President Christopher Eisgruber last November.

Princeton, via Akin Gump, told the committee that Mousavian’s employment is compliant with US law and furthers the school’s educational mission, “including its commitment to scholarly excellence and academic freedom.” In March, the National Association of Scholars, a higher education membership organization and think tank, called for Princeton to dismiss Mousavian on the grounds that his position threatens US national security and “cedes academia’s integrity to a hostile regime linked to terrorism and human rights abuses.”

The school’s Iran center — formally known as the Sharmin and Bijan Mossavar-Rahmani Center for Iran and Persian Gulf Studies — meanwhile, promotes scholarship that seeks to better understand the Islamic Republic. The center’s director, Professor Behrooz Ghamari-Tabrizi , has been outspoken while at Princeton in highlighting what he views as some of the Islamic Revolution’s accomplishments, including, the empowerment of women. In the fall of 2022, at the height of the Iranian government’s crackdown on women-led protests against the regime and laws that enforce Islamic head scarves, he wrote : “Despite all this, women’s social mobility and presence in [the] public sphere grew exponentially in the past four decades.”

Princeton also hosted Robert Malley, the Biden administration’s suspended special Iran envoy, as a guest lecturer for the 2023 fall semester. The State Department revoked Malley’s security clearance in March of last year, and he’s currently being investigated by the FBI for the possible mishandling of classified information. He’s been one of the strongest proponents in Washington for engaging the Iranian regime.

The desire for stronger academic ties during the mid-2010s was a two-way street. Throughout former President Barack Obama’s tenure, Tehran communicated to Washington a desire to increase the numbers of Iranians at elite American universities, according to current and former US officials. The formalizing of the 2015 nuclear agreement was seen as a way to accelerate this process.

“As I mentioned to you in Vienna, we are also considering sending a few of our scholars and researchers to your university. A Ph.D. course is what we had in mind,” Mostafa Zahrani wrote to Kevan Harris of Princeton’s Iran center, in November 2014. “I would appreciate [it] if you give details on if and how this would be possible or information on any other program you had in mind.”

Wang Xiyue’s imprisonment two years later appeared to be a deliberate attempt by the IRGC, and other hardline elements of the regime, to sabotage academic or business engagement with the US, according to American and European officials. Iran’s security forces imprisoned a prominent Iranian-American businessman, Siamak Namazi, three months after the finalizing of the nuclear deal in July 2015, and held him for eight years until his 2023 release. This placed a significant chill on the willingness of diaspora Iranians to travel to Iran and attempt to conduct business. Wang and Namazi were both charged with being Western spies.

Attempts by Semafor to reach Zahrani and other Iranian officials about the student exchange program were unsuccessful. Ariane Tabatabai, who first put Zahrani in touch with Princeton while she was working at Harvard University, “played no part in a separate institution’s student exchange,” a person close to her work told Semafor.

KH, the Iranian proxy force in Iraq, has also couched the abduction of Elizabeth Tsurkov as part of its broader battle against the US and Israel — though its statements appear aimed at distancing itself from the actual kidnapping. “We in the victorious Kataib Hezbollah, in turn, will increase our efforts to find out the fate of the Zionist prisoner or prisoners in Iraq,” KH security chief, Abu Ali Al-Askari, said about the Tsurkov kidnapping in a statement released last July on Iraqi television. “[We will] learn more about the intentions of this criminal gang, and who facilitates their movements in a country that prohibits and criminalizes dealing with them.”

The KH chief appears to be referring to the Israeli government.

The story of Mousavian’s exile in New Jersey is one for which I’ve had a front row seat. I was the first journalist to interview the Iranian diplomat and scholar following his quiet arrival at Princeton in 2009. And his saga speaks to what’s been a decades-long effort — pursued by both the US government and private American institutions — to identify and engage moderates in revolutionary Iran.

Obama administration and European officials flocked to meet Mousavian, and closely scrutinized his writings, once he was ensconced in the US. Mousavian was clear to me and others at that time that he wasn’t seeking asylum and planned to return to Iran. From his modest office at Princeton, he pumped out books and papers that helped serve as building blocks for what would be the landmark 2015 nuclear deal. Some Western officials told me that they saw Mousavian as serving as a critical interlocutor if he joined a future Iranian government.

I thought Mousavian would serve as a senior official in President Rouhani’s government, which took power in 2013. But the diplomat never left Princeton. He’s publicly said that he remains barred from government service. And he’s privately told people that he runs the risk of arrest by the IRGC and other hardline factions if he travels to Iran.

Mousavian’s status raises serious questions about whether Iranian officials, courted by the West, can really survive in Iran’s authoritarian and Islamist system. Supporters of the Obama administration’s nuclear policy point out — correctly — that it was the US under Donald Trump who pulled the plug on the nuclear accord. But it’s also true that most of the constraints placed on Tehran were going to expire. And even Mousavian, in his writings, acknowledges that he’s not sure what the IRGC’s long-term plans for the nuclear program might entail.

“I hold to the assessment that Iran has not made a decision to acquire a nuclear weapon as distinguished from a nuclear weapons option,” he wrote in his 2012 book: The Iranian Nuclear Crisis: A Memoir . Mousavian has recently voiced his concern that the current tensions in the Middle East involving Iran, Israel, and the US are only increasing the chances that Tehran will seek to develop nuclear weapons.

Princeton’s efforts to establish a student-exchange program were also derailed by Tehran’s political warfare. Correspondence reviewed by Semafor details the optimism Princeton officials held for academic exchanges with Tehran just weeks before Wang’s arrest. They clearly didn’t seem to appreciate that there were forces inside Iran eager to maintain the country’s hostility towards the US.

“What the government of the Islamic Republic of Iran did to Xiyue Wang and his family is outrageous, unjust, and alarming for researchers and academics around the world,” Harris, the former Princeton postdoctoral researcher who worked on student exchanges, told me. He left in the summer of 2015 for UCLA where he currently works as an associate professor of sociology. “No one in an academic institution should be subject to such treatment by Iran’s government, whether they are a citizen of Iran or a foreigner.”

  • An organization of Iranian exiles — called the Alliance Against Islamic Regime of Iran Apologists — has been staging events and protests calling for Mousavian’s dismissal, including at Princeton. Some of the protesters are relatives of Kurdish dissidents assassinated by the Iranian regime in Berlin in 1992, when Mousavian served as Tehran’s ambassador to Germany. AAIRIA accuses Mousavian of being complicit in the terrorist attack, which he denies.
  • Elizabeth Tsurkov’s writings on the Middle East have also focused on Jewish settler violence against Palestinians and Israeli Arabs. Her June 2021 piece in New Lines Magazine documents how Jewish militias have moved their operations into Israel proper from the West Bank.
  • Current and former IRGC generals have spoken in recent weeks of revising the country’s nuclear doctrine , which Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei has ruled explicitly forbids the development of atomic weapons. “If the Zionist regime wants to use the threat of attacking our country’s nuclear centers as a tool to pressure Iran, it is possible to review the nuclear doctrine,” Gen. Ahmad Haqtalab said on April 18.
  • Top Republicans investigating the suspension of the Biden administration’s Iran envoy, Robert Malley, said they uncovered evidence that the diplomat sent classified documents to his personal devices , and may have been hacked by a foreign power. The lawmakers’ conclusions were documented in a letter sent to US Secretary of State Antony Blinken on May 6 — which was obtained by The Washington Post — and laid out 19 questions on the matter. The State Department declined to answer media requests for comment.

Princeton Symposium on Race honors the largest group of high school students in the program’s history

2024 Princeton Prize awardees

Princeton University celebrated 36 Princeton Prize in Race Relations (PPRR) award recipients — the most ever in the program’s 21-year history — during the annual Princeton Prize Symposium on Race held on campus April 25-27. The high school students from across the United States were recognized for demonstrating leadership in advancing racial equity in their schools and communities.

“In this particular discourse of racial justice, in conversations of improving racial equity and so forth, it’s the young people who are the experts,” said Shirleen Robinson ’95, PPRR regional chair of Connecticut, during the symposium. “We’re having these courageous conversations because they themselves had the courage to disrupt and to call out many of the racist incidents and instances of inequalities that they have seen.”

Since PPRR’s inception in 2003, Princeton has recognized more than 2,000 high school students across 29 U.S. regions and three at-large regions with the prize and certificates of accomplishment. Each Princeton Prize awardee received $1,000 and an all-expenses-paid trip to the University for the symposium. Thirty-one of the 36 awardees attended the symposium.

“It’s such an inspiration every year to watch these young leaders share their stories with each other and form bonds that carry forward after the symposium,” said Steven Marcus ’10, PPRR advisory council chair and a Nashville, Tennessee-based attorney.

Highlights from the weekend program included a workshop on race and privilege by Jason Klugman, senior director of College Preparation Initiatives in the Emma Bloomberg Center for Access and Opportunity; a conversation with Princeton Prize recipients and current Princeton students; a session on crafting a racial autobiography; and networking opportunities in which the prize recipients received feedback from alumni on how to move their projects forward.

Symposium participants also had the opportunity to experience the life of the campus, including a lecture from Laurence Ralph, professor of anthropology, on “Valuing Repair: A Vision of Radical Empathy.”

“I’ve learned so much from all the open conversations with the other prize recipients here,” said Flematu Fofana, Baltimore region Princeton Prize awardee and founder/president of the NAACP Youth Council in Carroll County, Maryland, which is fighting to reverse a series of book bans by the school board. “And it makes me feel better to know that I’m not alone in this work.”

“In this line of work, you’re always going to have people tell you what you’re doing isn’t important and won’t have any impact,” said Hermela Shimelis, a Boston region PPRR award recipient who founded the 2 Blocks project, which provides opportunities and career exposure for underrepresented students in Cambridge, Massachusetts. “In the face of the naysayers and all the barriers in your way, you have to focus on the work, because what you’re doing will help so many people and have a generational impact moving forward.”

The Princeton Prize in Race Relations is supported by more than 400 Princeton alumni volunteers, all dedicated to an inclusive and supportive society that addresses issues of racial inequity and develops better racial understanding.

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    Princeton's 2024-25 operating budget includes a 7.8% increase in the undergraduate financial aid budget and a 4.25% increase to graduate fellowship and stipend rates (on average). The estimated "net cost after aid" to attend Princeton for the average scholarship recipient is expected to be approximately $13,000 for 2024-25.